Real
Fiscal
Financial
External
Tourist arrivals
In September 2024, total tourist arrivals stood at 132,795, registering an increase of 1.4% compared with the same period of last year. During the month, the highest number of tourist arrivals were recorded from China, followed by Russia and Germany.
Inflation
The rate of inflation (annual percentage change in the national CPI) decelerated to 1.1% in September 2024, from 1.4% in August 2024. The largest contribution to the annual rate of inflation during the month came from Mobile communication services (-0.57 percentage points); Vegetables (0.49 percentage points); and Fish (0.33 percentage points).
Fish exports
The volume of fish exports decreased by 8.0% in September 2024 compared with the same period of last year. This was mainly driven by the decrease in the export of Fresh, chilled or frozen Skipjack tuna by 41.4% (375.6 metric tonnes).
Real GDP growth
Real GDP is projected to grow by 6.4% in 2025, followed by an estimated growth of 5.5% in 2024.
Total revenue and grants
Total government revenue and grants is estimated to be increased by MVR1.1 billion (3.4%) in 2024 when compared to 2023, mostly driven by Tax revenue (an increase of MVR1.6 billion).
Total expenditure
Total government expenditure is estimated to be increased by MVR0.5 billion (1.1%) in 2024 when compared to 2023, driven by current expenditure (an increase of MVR2.5 billion) and capital expenditure (a decrease of MVR2.0 billion).
Overall fiscal balance in percent of GDP
The fiscal deficit is estimated to be narrowed to 13.0% of GDP in 2024, from 14.4% in 2023.
Broad money
The annual broad money (M2) growth rate accelerated to 0.5% at the end of September 2024 from 0.1% in August 2024. During the month, the annual growth in broad money was primarily driven by the increase in narrow money.
Credit to private sector
Annual growth of credit to private sector by commercial banks decelerated to 10.7% at the end of September 2024 from 11.5% in August 2024. During the month, the largest contribution to the annual growth was from credit allocated for personal loans, construction sector and commerce sector.
Overnight deposit facility (average)
During October 2024, the average Overnight Deposit Facility (ODF) placements stood at MVR5.45 billion, reflecting 22.77% decline in annual terms.
Official reserve assets
Official reserve assets stood at USD 614.6 million at the end of October 2024, reflecting 65.6% increase from USD 371.2 million at the end of September 2024. Similarly, official reserve assets increased by 11.3% in annual terms during the review period.
Exports
Total exports (f.o.b.) in September 2024 increased by 7.6% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the rise in re-exports and other exports.
Imports
Total imports (c.i.f.) in September 2024 increased by 20.1% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the rise in imports of transport equipments and parts and food items.
Export of goods and service
Export of goods and services for 2023 decreased by 4.0% compared to 2022. However, this figure is estimated to increase by 7.9% in 2024.
Balance on goods in percent of GDP
The balance on goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be -43.0% in 2024 and -40.2% in 2025.
Import of goods in percent of GDP
Import of goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be 48.4% in 2024 and 45.0% in 2025.
Current account balance in percent of GDP
The current account deficit is expected to narrow to 20.4% of GDP in 2024, after recording 21.3% of GDP in 2023. Similarly, it is projected to narrow to 12.5% of GDP in 2025.
Exchange rate
At the end of September 2024, the exchange rate of Maldivian Rufiyaa (MVR) per US Dollar (USD) was 15.38.