Real
Fiscal
Financial
External
Tourist arrivals
In October 2025, total tourist arrivals stood at 190,445, registering an increase of 10.3% compared with the same period of last year. During the month, the highest number of tourist arrivals were recorded from Russia, followed by China and Germany.
Inflation
The rate of inflation (annual percentage change in the national CPI) remained at 3.9% in October 2025. The largest contribution to the annual rate of inflation during the month came from Tobacco (3.52 percentage points); Electricity (-0.74 percentage points); and Fruit (0.40 percentage points).
Fish exports
The volume of fish exports increased by 111.1% in October 2025 compared with the same period of last year. This was mainly driven by the increase in the export of Fresh, chilled or frozen Skipjack tuna by 258.9% (1,832.0 metric tonnes).
Real GDP growth
Real GDP is projected to grow by 5.3% in 2026, followed by an estimated growth of 5.4% in 2025.
Total revenue and grants
Total government revenue and grants is estimated to be increased by MVR5.6 billion (16.5%) in 2025 when compared to 2024, mostly driven by Tax revenue (an increase of MVR3.5 billion).
Total expenditure
Total government expenditure is estimated to be increased by MVR1.4 billion (3.0%) in 2025 when compared to 2024, driven by capital expenditure (an increase of MVR0.9 billion) and current expenditure (an increase of MVR0.5 billion).
Overall fiscal balance in percent of GDP
The fiscal deficit is estimated to be narrowed to 8.1% of GDP in 2025, from 12.5% in 2024.
Broad money
The annual broad money (M2) growth rate accelerated to 19.6% at the end of October 2025 from 16.6% in September 2025. During the month, the annual growth in broad money was primarily driven by the increase in quasi money.
Credit to private sector
Annual growth of credit to private sector by commercial banks accelerated to 7.7% at the end of October 2025 from 6.4% in September 2025. During the month, the largest contribution to the annual growth was from credit allocated for personal loans, tourism sector and other loans and loans not adequately described.
Standing Deposit Facility (average)
During October 2025, the average Standing Deposit Facility placements stood at MVR4.33 billion, reflecting 20.65% decline in annual terms.
Official reserve assets
Official reserve assets stood at USD 866.3 million at the end of October 2025, reflecting 0.8% increase from USD 859.5 million at the end of September 2025. Similarly, official reserve assets increased by 40.9% in annual terms during the review period.
Exports
Total exports (f.o.b.) in October 2025 increased by 21.7% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the rise in fish exports and re-exports.
Imports
Total imports (c.i.f.) in October 2025 decreased by 5.2% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the decline in imports of transport equipments and parts, despite imports of machinery, mechanical appliances and parts observing a rise during the period.
Export of goods and service
Export of goods and services for 2025 increased by 13.1% compared to 2024. Similarly, it is estimated to increase by 4.0% in 2026.
Balance on goods in percent of GDP
The balance on goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be -38.7% in 2025 and -37.9% in 2026.
Import of goods in percent of GDP
Import of goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be 44.6% in 2025 and 43.8% in 2026.
Current account balance in percent of GDP
The current account deficit is expected to narrow to 7.0% of GDP in 2025, after recording 18.7% of GDP in 2024. However, it is projected to widen to 7.8% of GDP in 2026.
Exchange rate
At the end of October 2025, the exchange rate of Maldivian Rufiyaa (MVR) per US Dollar (USD) was 15.42.