Real
Fiscal
Financial
External
Tourist arrivals
In March 2026, total tourist arrivals stood at 161,259, registering a decline of 20.7% compared with the same period of last year. During the month, the highest number of tourist arrivals were recorded from Russia, followed by China and United Kingdom.
Inflation
The rate of inflation (annual percentage change in the national CPI) decelerated to -1.7% in March 2026, from 0.0% in February 2026. The largest contribution to the annual rate of inflation during the month came from Electricity (-2.75 percentage points); Passenger transport by sea and inland waterway (0.32 percentage points); and Fish (0.30 percentage points).
Fish exports
The volume of fish exports decreased by 80.6% in March 2026 compared with the same period of last year. This was mainly driven by the decrease in the export of Fresh, chilled or frozen Skipjack tuna by 93.5% (5,534.5 metric tonnes).
Real GDP growth
Real GDP is projected to grow by 5.3% in 2026, followed by an estimated growth of 6.3% in 2025.
Total revenue and grants
Total government revenue and grants is estimated to be increased by MVR2.5 billion (6.6%) in 2026 when compared to 2025, mostly driven by Tax revenue (an increase of MVR2.7 billion).
Total expenditure
Total government expenditure is estimated to be increased by MVR4.9 billion (11.1%) in 2026 when compared to 2025, driven by current expenditure (an increase of MVR2.7 billion) and capital expenditure (an increase of MVR2.2 billion).
Overall fiscal balance in percent of GDP
The fiscal deficit is estimated to be widened to 7.1% of GDP in 2026, from 5.4% in 2025.
Broad money
The annual broad money (M2) growth rate decelerated to 19.6% at the end of March 2026 from 21.4% in February 2026. During the month, the annual growth in broad money was primarily driven by the increase in quasi money.
Credit to private sector
Annual growth of credit to private sector by commercial banks accelerated to 13.6% at the end of March 2026 from 12.9% in February 2026. During the month, the largest contribution to the annual growth was from credit allocated for tourism sector, construction sector and personal loans.
Standing Deposit Facility (average)
During April 2026, the average Standing Deposit Facility placements stood at MVR3.51 billion, reflecting 41.11% decline in annual terms.
Official reserve assets
Official reserve assets stood at USD 717.9 million at the end of April 2026, reflecting 46.1% decrease from USD 1,331.8 million at the end of March 2026. Similarly, official reserve assets decreased by 16.2% in annual terms during the review period.
Exports
Total exports (f.o.b.) in March 2026 increased by 32.4% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the rise in re-exports, despite fish exports observing a decline during the period.
Imports
Total imports (c.i.f.) in March 2026 increased by 30.9% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the rise in imports of petroleum products and wood, metal, cement and aggregates.
Export of goods and service
Export of goods and services for 2025 increased by 15.3% compared to 2024. Similarly, it is estimated to increase by 2.0% in 2026.
Balance on goods in percent of GDP
The balance on goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be -38.2% in 2025 and -37.9% in 2026.
Import of goods in percent of GDP
Import of goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be 43.9% in 2025 and 43.8% in 2026.
Current account balance in percent of GDP
The current account deficit is expected to narrow to 6.2% of GDP in 2025, after recording 17.8% of GDP in 2024. However, it is projected to widen to 7.8% of GDP in 2026.
Exchange rate
At the end of March 2026, the exchange rate of Maldivian Rufiyaa (MVR) per US Dollar (USD) was 15.42.