Real
Fiscal
Financial
External
Tourist arrivals
In January 2026, total tourist arrivals stood at 224,788, registering an increase of 4.6% compared with the same period of last year. During the month, the highest number of tourist arrivals were recorded from Russia, followed by Italy and China.
Inflation
The rate of inflation (annual percentage change in the national CPI) decelerated to 0.4% in December 2025, from 1.4% in November 2025. The largest contribution to the annual rate of inflation during the month came from Electricity (-0.80 percentage points); Fish (0.43 percentage points); and Restaurants, cafés and the like (0.22 percentage points).
Fish exports
The volume of fish exports decreased by 33.8% in January 2026 compared with the same period of last year. This was mainly driven by the decrease in the export of Fresh, chilled or frozen Skipjack tuna by 50.3% (2,157.5 metric tonnes).
Real GDP growth
Real GDP is projected to grow by 5.3% in 2026, followed by an estimated growth of 5.4% in 2025.
Total revenue and grants
Total government revenue and grants is estimated to be increased by MVR2.5 billion (6.6%) in 2026 when compared to 2025, mostly driven by Tax revenue (an increase of MVR2.7 billion).
Total expenditure
Total government expenditure is estimated to be increased by MVR4.9 billion (11.1%) in 2026 when compared to 2025, driven by current expenditure (an increase of MVR2.7 billion) and capital expenditure (an increase of MVR2.2 billion).
Overall fiscal balance in percent of GDP
The fiscal deficit is estimated to be widened to 7.1% of GDP in 2026, from 5.5% in 2025.
Broad money
The annual broad money (M2) growth rate decelerated to 19.6% at the end of January 2026 from 21.4% in December 2025. During the month, the annual growth in broad money was primarily driven by the increase in quasi money.
Credit to private sector
Annual growth of credit to private sector by commercial banks accelerated to 13.5% at the end of January 2026 from 13.2% in December 2025. During the month, the largest contribution to the annual growth was from credit allocated for tourism sector, personal loans and construction sector.
Standing Deposit Facility (average)
During February 2026, the average Standing Deposit Facility placements stood at MVR3.38 billion, reflecting 48.16% decline in annual terms.
Official reserve assets
Official reserve assets stood at USD 1,271.6 million at the end of February 2026, reflecting 23.9% increase from USD 1,026.1 million at the end of January 2026. Similarly, official reserve assets increased by 52.8% in annual terms during the review period.
Exports
Total exports (f.o.b.) in January 2026 decreased by 10.8% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the decline in re-exports and fish exports.
Imports
Total imports (c.i.f.) in January 2026 increased by 17.0% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the rise in imports of petroleum products and machinery, mechanical appliances and parts.
Export of goods and service
Export of goods and services for 2025 increased by 13.1% compared to 2024. Similarly, it is estimated to increase by 4.0% in 2026.
Balance on goods in percent of GDP
The balance on goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be -38.7% in 2025 and -37.9% in 2026.
Import of goods in percent of GDP
Import of goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be 44.6% in 2025 and 43.8% in 2026.
Current account balance in percent of GDP
The current account deficit is expected to narrow to 7.0% of GDP in 2025, after recording 18.7% of GDP in 2024. However, it is projected to widen to 7.8% of GDP in 2026.
Exchange rate
At the end of February 2026, the exchange rate of Maldivian Rufiyaa (MVR) per US Dollar (USD) was 15.42.