Real
Fiscal
Financial
External
Tourist arrivals
In October 2024, total tourist arrivals stood at 172,621, registering an increase of 8.5% compared with the same period of last year. During the month, the highest number of tourist arrivals were recorded from Russia, followed by Germany and China.
Inflation
The rate of inflation (annual percentage change in the national CPI) remained at 1.1% in October 2024. The largest contribution to the annual rate of inflation during the month came from Mobile communication services (-0.49 percentage points); Fish (0.41 percentage points); and Vegetables (0.31 percentage points).
Fish exports
The volume of fish exports decreased by 55.3% in October 2024 compared with the same period of last year. This was mainly driven by the decrease in the export of Fresh, chilled or frozen Skipjack tuna by 74.9% (2,116.8 metric tonnes).
Real GDP growth
Real GDP is projected to grow by 6.4% in 2025, followed by an estimated growth of 5.5% in 2024.
Total revenue and grants
Total government revenue and grants is estimated to show no significant change in 2024 when compared to 2023.
Total expenditure
Total government expenditure is estimated to be increased by MVR2.9 billion (6.4%) in 2024 when compared to 2023, driven by current expenditure (an increase of MVR3.8 billion) and capital expenditure (a decrease of MVR1.0 billion).
Overall fiscal balance in percent of GDP
The fiscal deficit is estimated to be widened to 12.5% of GDP in 2024, from 10.6% in 2023.
Broad money
The annual broad money (M2) growth rate decelerated to -1.4% at the end of October 2024 from 0.5% in September 2024. During the month, the annual growth in broad money was primarily driven by the decrease in quasi money.
Credit to private sector
Annual growth of credit to private sector by commercial banks decelerated to 10.7% at the end of September 2024 from 11.5% in August 2024. During the month, the largest contribution to the annual growth was from credit allocated for personal loans, construction sector and commerce sector.
Overnight deposit facility (average)
During November 2024, the average Overnight Deposit Facility (ODF) placements stood at MVR5.59 billion, reflecting 23.69% decline in annual terms.
Official reserve assets
Official reserve assets stood at USD 616.2 million at the end of November 2024, reflecting 0.2% increase from USD 614.6 million at the end of October 2024. Similarly, official reserve assets increased by 6.0% in annual terms during the review period.
Exports
Total exports (f.o.b.) in October 2024 decreased by 28.6% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the decline in fish exports and re-exports.
Imports
Total imports (c.i.f.) in October 2024 increased by 2.4% compared to the same period last year. This stemmed primarily from the rise in imports of transport equipments and parts, despite imports of wood, metal, cement and aggregates observing a decline during the period.
Export of goods and service
Export of goods and services for 2023 decreased by 4.0% compared to 2022. However, this figure is estimated to increase by 7.9% in 2024.
Balance on goods in percent of GDP
The balance on goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be -43.0% in 2024 and -40.2% in 2025.
Import of goods in percent of GDP
Import of goods in percent of GDP is estimated to be 48.4% in 2024 and 45.0% in 2025.
Current account balance in percent of GDP
The current account deficit is expected to narrow to 20.4% of GDP in 2024, after recording 21.3% of GDP in 2023. Similarly, it is projected to narrow to 12.5% of GDP in 2025.
Exchange rate
At the end of October 2024, the exchange rate of Maldivian Rufiyaa (MVR) per US Dollar (USD) was 15.41.